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| Spotlight |
Carol (could win)
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight (will/should win)
Not only is the Boston journalism drama my top film of 2015, Spotlight is also the frontrunner for the Best Picture Oscar. So I think a victory at the Globes is almost a sure thing. Carol is probably the 2nd likely winner, but each of the nominees (though I haven't seen The Revenant yet) seems like it could be a surprise win. Seeing MM:FR here is great.
What's missing? Brooklyn, Ex Machina, Creed--all worthy films.
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| Brie Larson, Room |
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Brie Larson, Room (will win, should win)
Rooney Mara, Carol (could win)
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn (should win)
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
I find this category hard to predict. My gut says Brie Larson, but I have a feeling that the Globes might go for the more simple period romances Brooklyn or Carol. Having the two Carol stars in the leading category feels appropriate for their screen time (they're both leads) but might cause a split vote. So for now I'm going to say Larson since she had the more complicated role.
Who's missing? Charlize Theron for Mad Max: Fury Road.
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| Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant |
Bryan Cranston, Trumbo (could win)
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant (will win/should win)
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl
Will Smith, Concussion
I think DiCaps has this one in the bag. I haven't seen The Revenant, but after he lost the Oscar for the role of his lifetime (Wolf of Wall Street, for which he did win the Globe), the drums have been beating for him. And simply by process of elimination, the award is his. The lukewarm response toThe Danish Girl brings Redmayne down. Steve Jobs outright flopping killed Fassbender. And Smith and Cranston were in pretty middling movies that didn't really spark much interest.
Who's missing? Mr. Samuel L. Jackson for The Hateful Eight.
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| The Big Short |
The Big Short (will win)
Joy
The Martian (could win)
Spy (should win)
Trainwreck
The funny thing about this category is how the Globes like to cram in comedies that barely qualify as such. So it's always nice to see actual comedies like Spy or Trainwreck get some love. But it looks like The Big Short, which has some funny moments but can be very dramatic, is the big winner. Of the nominees, it's the closest to a Best Picture nomination at the Oscars (along with The Martian). The Matt Damon space movie is funny but I just don't think it going to make it to the finish line since The Big Short swept in and got a lot of glory.
What's missing? I'm surprised Sisters isn't on here considering the Globes love Amy Poehler and Tina Fey. Also Spike Lee's Chi-Raq.
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| Amy Schumer, Trainwreck |
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Melissa McCarthy, Spy (should win)
Amy Schumer, Trainwreck (will win)
Maggic Smith, The Lady in the Van
Lily Tomlin, Grandma (could win)
Fo me, this category is hard to predict. And that's because only one actor has an actual chance at an Oscar nom, JLaw, but I don't think the odds are in her favor. Amy Schumer's breakout year singles her out. I'd love to see McCarthy win for her textured, surprising work in Spy. Tomlin's success with the Netflix show Grace & Frankie (for which she has a TV nom at the Globes) also brings her some fortune. However, I don't think the Globes will resist getting Schumer on that stage making a speech.
Who's missing? Amy Poehler for Sisters.
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| The Martian |
Christian Bale, The Big Short (could win)
Steve Carrell, The Big Short (should win)
Matt Damon, The Martian (will win)
Al Pacino, Danny Collins
Mark Ruffalo, Infinitely Polar Bear
Okay, the last two nominees--where did they come from? This race is between Damon, Carrell, and Bale. I think Matt Damon will take it for his one man in Mars role. But The Big Short is really shaping up to be a firerce contender, and the Globes will like the stat studded cast (including Ryan Gosling, Brad Pitt, and Marisa Tomei). I like Carrell in the film so I think he could be the #2, but Bale is no slouch either.
Who's missing? Well, Seth Rogen for The Night Before?
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| Alicia Vikander, Ex Machina |
Jane Fonda, Youth
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful 8 (could win)
Helen Mirren, Trumbo
Alicia Vikander, Ex Machina (will win)
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
Rooney Mara rightfully being placed in leading creates a vacuum in the supporting actress category. It could go to either Vikander or Jason Leigh. I don't want to vote against the star power of Fonda or Mrren, but I just don't see it happening. Like her co-star, Steve Jobs being such a flop killed Winslet's chances. I'd be satisfied with either Vikander or Jason Leigh taking it.
Who's missing? Kristen Stewart for Clouds of Sils Maria, Tessa Thompson for Creed, and Rachel McAdams for Spotlight.
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| Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation |
Paul Dano, Love & Mercy
Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation (will win)
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies (could win)
Michael Shannon, 99 Homes (should win)
Sylvester Stallone, Creed
Part of my problem with this category is that..well, who cares? For me, this year didn't have a standout Supporting Actor frontrunner, and there's little drama. Elba would be the first winner from a Netflix movie. Back in October Rylance was the man to beat but the film has fallen out. Shannon's had a good year with diverse projects so he could pull a surprise. And as much as I love Creed and Love & Mercy, I really doubt those guys will win.
Who's missing? Mr. Samuel L. Jackson for Chi-Raq, and Mark Ruffalo/Michael Keaton for Spotlight.
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| George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road |
Todd Haynes, Carol (could win)
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, The Revenant
Tom McCarthy, Spotlight (should win)
George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road (will win)
Ridley Scott, The Martian
This is a stacked category, kids. My heart says Miller will win for the impressive MM:FR, but some people are saying it's Scott's to take. Todd Haynes deserves so many awards for his whole career, let alone Carol. The Revenant's been pushing the narrative of how grueling the making of the film was, so AGI might pull a win. But I think McCarthy's been undermined despite his film being the major frontrunner for the top prize. Spotlight isn't flashy nor does it have an especially troubled production. However, it's a deceptively sophisticated as a directorial effort.
Who's missing? I would have switched out Ridley Scott and put in Ryan Coogler for his incredible work in Creed.
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| Inside Out |
Anomalisa (could win)
The Good Dinosaur
Inside Out (will win, should win)
The Peanuts Movie
Shaun the Sheep Movie
Unfortunately I've only seen two of these, Inside Out and The Good Dinosaur. Obviously this award belongs to Inside Out. Anomalisa, a stop motion romance for adults, could be a surprise win. I'd love to see it but it hasn't expanded into more theaters yet. The Peanuts Movie and Shuan the Sheep Movie garnered some fans, but didn't quite take it to the next level.
What's missing? Minions, I guess...but I'm not sad about it.
And now, the rest of the categories:
Best Foreign Language Film: Son of Saul
Best Screenplay: Spotlight or Room
Best Original Score: Carol, maybe? Or The Hateful Eight
Best Original Song: See You Again, Furious 7
Like what you read? Please like my blog at Facebook.com/MathurMarquee. Also, follow me on Twitter @HippogriffRider. For more of my work, check out Horror Film Central. Agree? Disagree? Sound off in the comments below!
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